Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000127 0.000139 0.000153 0.000168 0.000185 0.000203 0.000225
2025-11-09 0.000102 0.000120 0.000141 0.000167 0.000199 0.000236 0.000284
2025-11-16 0.000085 0.000106 0.000131 0.000165 0.000208 0.000262 0.000336
2025-11-23 0.000074 0.000095 0.000122 0.000160 0.000212 0.000281 0.000381
2025-11-30 0.000067 0.000090 0.000120 0.000163 0.000224 0.000310 0.000442
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000085 0.000118 0.000166 0.000237 0.000342 0.000510
2025-12-14 0.000056 0.000079 0.000112 0.000163 0.000241 0.000359 0.000557
2025-12-21 0.000050 0.000073 0.000105 0.000157 0.000238 0.000367 0.000591
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000069 0.000103 0.000157 0.000247 0.000392 0.000655
2026-01-04 0.000044 0.000067 0.000101 0.000158 0.000255 0.000418 0.000725
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000063 0.000097 0.000156 0.000258 0.000435 0.000778
2026-01-18 0.000039 0.000061 0.000096 0.000157 0.000266 0.000460 0.000852
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000058 0.000092 0.000155 0.000269 0.000479 0.000919
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000055 0.000090 0.000155 0.000276 0.000506 0.001005
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000052 0.000087 0.000152 0.000278 0.000524 0.001078
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000049 0.000083 0.000148 0.000278 0.000536 0.001138
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000048 0.000083 0.000151 0.000289 0.000574 0.001262
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000047 0.000082 0.000153 0.000301 0.000617 0.001405
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000045 0.000079 0.000151 0.000302 0.000632 0.001485
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000145 0.000296 0.000634 0.001529
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000041 0.000074 0.000146 0.000304 0.000667 0.001662
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000147 0.000313 0.000703 0.001811
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000038 0.000071 0.000145 0.000314 0.000722 0.001914